The Arising Uncertainties from Democratization Process in Arab Spring Countries

Abstract

After one or two years of the remarkable transformations in the Arab world which toppled some of the most resilient authoritarian regimes in the world however, the democratic transition process seems gloomy, uncertain, unstable, and chaotic in some cases (Yemen, Egypt, Libya). This study aims to explore the supposed multiple futures of the Arab Spring without the exclusion of failure scenario, in lights of the following assumptions: First: is that the existence of uncertainties are the key elements to the possibility of successful democratic transition; Second: the transition process assumed to be elite led, or even under the presence of repressive elite that has interests to liberalize and democratize during transition period.

DOI: 10.5901/mjss.2013.v4n10p443