Statistical Research of Structural Shift in Unemployment of Youth in Regions of Russia

Abstract

The authors analyze the performance of structural changes in youth unemployment in the regions of Russia in 2005-2013. The object of this study is the youth labor market, its regional and age-related structural changes in the level of unemployment using an example of young people aged 15-19 and 20-29. The purpose of this research - to perform statistical assessment and quantitative analysis of structural changes in youth unemployment and its role in unemployment formation in Russia in 2005- 2013. The article represents an overview and comparison of integral factors of structural changes, and then selects the most statistically informative. It is revealed that there were the strongest age-related changes in unemployment in 2011-2012 and 2007-2009 in the Russian economy. It is shown that the role of youth in the Russian indicators of unemployment is very high, but fluctuations from year to year in the group are below. After applying the integral factor of structural changes NAV, the authors suggest the decomposition technique of structural changes in the active and passive components. With the active component of the structural change it is justified that the factors of unemployment are different for different ages, the effects of economic shocks of the crisis for young people are less pronounced than for the total economically active population in the regions of Russia. Using the active components of structural changes the authors grouped the regions of Russia and identified regions with effective policies to reduce youth unemployment.

DOI: 10.5901/mjss.2015.v6n6s3p470